Conclusions on the current status on avalanche modelling
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An examination of existing models shows that: (1) there is not - and probably never will be - a single model that adequately describes all avalanche types; (2) in order to account for the extraordinary variability of avalanche motion in response to initial and boundary conditions, flow-regime transitions and the snow mass balance should be properly described in future models; (3) calibration and validation of these models will require a comprehensive measurement programme, (4) determination of realistic initial conditions is a serious problem.
In Proceedings of Mountainous Natural Hazards: International conference on mountainous natural hazards, Genoble 12-14 April, 1999